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general1465 6 hours ago [-]
Sure Russia can shoot down a satellite and pretend that it was not them. Nobody will believe that and they are opening themselves to having their own satellites shot down. It is like giving Ukraine a reason to build ASAT missiles and reason to use them.
Last time when Russia tried to launch a vehicle onto orbit, launching ramp has fell apart. So don't throw stones in the glass castle.
rasz 6 hours ago [-]
More likely scenario is zero consequences like after numerous Baltic fiber cable "accidents". russians mastered the art of mudded attribution. 2014 Little green men in Crimea, 2018 Petrov & Boshirov gay vacation unrelated to Skripal poisoning, 2023 Kakhovka Dam destruction, or just last ween UN convoy being droned. Everyone knows its them but is too scared to say it out loud and impose consequences.
To this day the only sanctions that really hurt russia have been enacted by Ukraine, the kinetic kind reaching their ships and refineries.
tim333 3 hours ago [-]
>2018 Petrov & Boshirov... too scared to say it out loud
There was a lot of saying out loud on that one and it's hard to figure cause and effect on consequences but the UK has sent a lot of missiles and drones to Ukraine.
rasz 2 hours ago [-]
But UK didnt send a single missile or drone into russia. This to russia is a sign of weakness and permission to keep pushing.
"Almost 200 so-called Russian "shadow fleet" vessels have entered UK waters since the prime minister threatened to intercept them nearly seven weeks ago, BBC Verify analysis suggests." https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn8pvgw802no
Strong signal would be Alexander Mishkin, Anatoliy Chepiga and their superior fatally slipping on Ice in downtown Moscow, not putting them on sanctions list.
Last time when Russia tried to launch a vehicle onto orbit, launching ramp has fell apart. So don't throw stones in the glass castle.
To this day the only sanctions that really hurt russia have been enacted by Ukraine, the kinetic kind reaching their ships and refineries.
There was a lot of saying out loud on that one and it's hard to figure cause and effect on consequences but the UK has sent a lot of missiles and drones to Ukraine.
https://www.gbnews.com/news/russia-news-keir-starmer-kremlin...
"Almost 200 so-called Russian "shadow fleet" vessels have entered UK waters since the prime minister threatened to intercept them nearly seven weeks ago, BBC Verify analysis suggests." https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn8pvgw802no
Strong signal would be Alexander Mishkin, Anatoliy Chepiga and their superior fatally slipping on Ice in downtown Moscow, not putting them on sanctions list.